Himachal elections: Litmus test for BJP, Congress





Amitabh Shukla | Shimla

After witnessing a fierce electoral war in Himachal Pradesh in which two powerful political families are involved — one from the BJP and the other from Congress, forty-eight lakh voters would decide the fate of 38 candidates in four parliamentary seats in the Himalayan State on Wednesday.

No prizes for guessing that it is senior BJP leader, two-time Chief Minister and now Leader of Opposition Prem Kumar Dhumal who is pitched in an electoral battle with six-time Chief Minister Virbhadra Singh in a battle of wits in which victory or defeat would have wide spread political ramification for both the leaders. Both Dhumal and Singh, spearheading their parties, campaigned extensively and addressed over 300 meetings each in almost every nook and corner of the state.

Unlike the culture at the national level in BJP, Himachal Pradesh is perhaps the only State where father Dhumal and son Anurag Thakur are both important leaders of the saffron party. BJP leaders in the state insist that Thakur, two-time MP from Hamirpur and President the Bharatiya Janata Yuva Morcha, is a leader on his own right and has not “benefited” from the stature of his father, a claim which the Congress rejects outrightly.

Then, there is the royal family of Virbhadra Singh—typically dynastic and represents the classic Congress culture where son succeeds the father and occasionally the wife of the leader too pitches in. Pratibha Singh or the Rani Sahiba, wife of the chief minister is the Congress candidate from Mandi while his son Vikramaditya Singh, called Tikka Sahib, is the star campaigner of the party. Vikramaditya, 23, President of Himachal Youth Congress, has been launched big time in this election. He could have contested the poll from Mandi had he been 25 years of age. BJP leaders in the state slam the dynastic politics of the Congress saying his mother is keeping the seat warm for him.

Virbhadra Singh, more popular as Raja Sahib, embroiled in several controversies and charges of corruption, launched what the BJP called “vendetta politics” soon after coming to power for the sixth time in December 2012. Both Dhumal and Thakur have been brought under the lens of the state government controlled Vigilance Bureau for alleged irregularities in the Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association.  Thakur has build a world class cricket stadium in Dharamsala in the backdrop of the mighty Dhauladhar range and Virbhadra Singh wants to discredit them by all means available to him.

“This election is a litmus test for both Dhumal and Singh. If BJP wins 3-1, the days of Virbhadra could be numbered. Dhumal would emerge victorious in the people’s court and vendetta politics would be defeated. But If Congress wins 3-1, Virbhadra would have the last laugh and Dhumal would be defensive besides facing more vendetta cases,” said a political analyst in Shimla.


ISSUES

Apples: In the horticulture belt of the state, invasion of Chinese and American apples in the Indian market is a major poll issue. The horticulturists of the state have been petitioning to the Congress government in the state and the Centre for increasing import duty on foreign apples to at least 100 per cent if not 150 per cent to save the apple farmers of the state. Nothing happened on this front even though Commerce Minister Anand Sharma is from the state. When BJP Prime Ministerial candidate Narendra Modi talked about the invasion of foreign apples and its adverse impact on Himachal farmers and how he will increase the import duty in Solan, it was music to the ear of the farmers. Congress Vice President Rahul Gandhi, who also addressed a rally in the same town, did not address the concerns. This could help BJP in the apple belt.

Tourism: This is the bread and butter of the state but almost everyone involved in the trade is dismayed at the casual approach of the government on this front. “People come to Himachal Pradesh despite the government,” said Mahesh Sharma, owner of a hotel, near Victory Tunnel in Shimla. When Congress government came it sniffed something wrong in whatever its predecessor government did. The Anandpur Sahib-Naina Devi ropeway project was scrapped. There has been no progress on the Jakhu Temple ropeway in Shimla nor has anything been done in the remaining projects. The heli taxi   scheme is in limbo and there has been no value addition in tourism in recent years. “People would simply stop coming to Himachal if something is not done to create additional facilities and attractions,” said a resort owner in Mandi.

Regional divide of upper and lower Himachal: This has affected governance badly. Ask the people and they will tell you that a divide exists. For example, Dhumal is from lower Himachal while Virbhadra Singh is from Upper Himachal. Bureaucracy, choice postings and a lot of other things depend on this regional divide which many say is eating into the vitality of the state.

Poor condition of highways: In this hill state, roads are the lifeline as there is no rail or air connectivity. But except the Chandigarh-Shimla National highway, all roads are in a very bad shape. The Virbhadra Singh government simply did not do anything on this front in the last 16 months. “Everyone in the state travels by road and this time, they know how bad the conditions are and who is responsible,” said the owner of ‘Bright’ Dhaba on the Mandi-Ner Chowk highway. The two main tourist attractions of Dharamsala-McLeodganj and Manali-Rohtang Pass are ravaged by potholes for several kilometers at a stretch. Rains in June last year damaged roads in the apple belt and it is yet to be repaired. BJP is targeting the government on this and Congress is on defensive.

HPCA: Perhaps the most beautiful cricket stadium of the world is in Himachal Pradesh at Dharamsala. It is under stack from the new government on land lease and alleged irregularities. Congress has made it a poll issue to target Dhumal and Thakur. Charge sheet has also been filed in the court against the two. BJP has retaliated saying it is political vendetta.

Narendra Modi: In its entire campaign BJP talked about Modi while Congress kept on dismissing the existence of any “Modi wave”. The BJP prime ministerial candidate is a big poll issue with sharply divided opinion.  Other national issues too are being raised mainly by the BJP.


CONSTITUENCIES

Shimla: Sitting MP Virender Kashyap of BJP is pitted against Mohan Lal Brakta of the Congress from this reserved seat, the apple belt of Himachal Pradesh. Both the parties are equally matched this time though the seat has been a traditional Congerss stronghold. But given the problems of the apple farmers and failure of the state and central governments to address those BJP has emerged as favourites after Modi’s rally in Solan.

Hamirpur: Sitting MP Anurag Thakur (BJP) is in a triangular contest versus Rajinder Rana (Congress) and Kamal Kanta Batra (AAP). This is a stronghold of the BJP and Dhumal has ensured it stays that way. CM Virbhadra Singh specially brought Independent MLA Rana in Congress and spent much of his time campaigning here. Batra is the mother of Kargil martyr Vikram Batra, winner of highest gallantry award of the country, Paramvir Chakra. It is BJP all the way here and Congress faces an uphill task.

Mandi: Here the sitting MP Pratibha Singh (Congress) is contesting against political novice Ram Swaroop Sharma (BJP). Mandi is to Congress what Hamirpur is to the BJP, respective strongholds of the two parties. It is extremely difficult for Sharma here even though Narendra Modi addressed a well-attended rally. Congress President Sonia Gandhi too addressed a rally here in favour of Pratibha Singh.

Kangra: It is two-time chief minister Shanta Kumar (BJP) versus Chander Kumar (Cong) and sitting MP Rajan Sushant (AAP). Coming out of retirement, the BJP veteran is contesting his last election and is tipped to be a Cabinet Minister if Modi becomes the Prime Minister. The Congress candidate did not get enough support from his chief minister. Sushant could be a spoiler in some pockets but it is BJP all the way in the constituency. (May 7, 2014)
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