Three power centres in Congress--Sonia, Manmohan and Rahul



  

VIEWPOINT
AMITABH SHUKLA

  
It seems AICC General Secretary Digvijay Singh is setting the political agenda for the Congress with one remark or the other every six months. He is the only leader of the party to take a stand on a given issue, often ambiguous, which only creates further confusion all around. At the end of the day, after several rounds of the party disassociating itself from Singh’s statement, it is back to square one. No one gets any wiser.

When the former Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister on a “electoral sanyas” for 10 years ever since the Congress lost the state to BJP’s Uma Bharti in 2003, decried the concept of two power centres—Manmohan Singh and Sonia Gandhi—and advised heir apparent Rahul Gandhi that the model should not be emulated, there has been a storm in the party.

Another General Secretary, Janardan Dwivedi, who is also the head of the media department and considered a miser with words, comes in the picture and claims what he says is the “official stand” of the party and what Singh says is “unofficial” and personal remarks.  Dwivedi, the Rajya Sabha member from Delhi, says the dual power centre has worked well for the party and could be a model for the future also.

Now, the problem is whom should the people and the Congress workers believe—Singh or Dwivedi. Had the party snubbed Singh and suspended him from the party for taking a stand which is contrary to that of the official stand, people would have believed Dwivedi. But nothing of that sort happened. In fact, Singh went on and stated that he has not taken back his words. So you now have two versions on the model of dual centres of power—one of Singh and the other of Dwivedi.

It is now upto party President Sonia Gandhi or Vice President Rahul Gandhi to clear the stand as only these two leaders are senior in party hierarchy than Singh or Dwivedi. But given the ambivalence of the Congress on a lot of issues, it is extremely unlikely that they would ever clear the stand. While the Congress President hardly speaks and never addresses a press conference except in the rarest of rare case, Rahul has deliberately kept himself aloof from nitty gritty of politics as he has more or less emerged as a social theorist rather than a politician which he actually is.

Or is it a case of floating the proverbial test balloon? Singh theorises on something, floating the balloon to test the political impact on the bidding of someone. His statements on handling of Maoist violence, taking up the case of terror accused from Azamgarh or dubbing the Batla House encounter as fake came in the recent past. After the statements, the party big wigs watch the reaction carefully, let the debate continue endlessly and witness  the confusion spread all across the political spectrum.  Often, it is Dwivedi who disassociates the party from the statements of Singh. At the end of it, no one is wiser, neither the party nor the people who are following the politics of the party but a new theory gets into the political vocabulary.

Juxtapose it with the recent statements of Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and you get a clearer picture of the deliberate attempts to create confusion. The PM says he is neither in nor out of the prime ministerial race in 2014. "I am not ruling it in, I am not ruling it out," he said. Obviously, you cannot draw any meaning or sense out of the statement and it is simply status quoism and stating the obvious.  He also describes the debate on dual power centres as the creation of media and a useless debate. Is there any clarity anywhere? Isn’t there more confusion? Will anyone in Congress ever stand up and answer in a simple yes or no.

Even Rahul Gandhi, neither commits or denies anything. Interacting with the industry leaders in a much publicized event, he said the question of his becoming prime minister was irrelevant. "It is irrelevant...all smoke," the 42-year old Amethi MP said. But again, why don’t you say that you won’t become Prime Minister ever or would become one day. No one can decipher what he means from the statement made at the CII.

 I remember the press conference at the AICC headquarters in 2009 when the Congress was releasing its manifesto. Both Manmohan Singh and Sonia Gandhi were present. But it was only after a series of direct questions that the Congress President said that Singh would be the prime ministerial candidate of the party. Remember, he had completed five years on the trot in the job and the party was practically forced to take a stand on the issue. Never had the party ever committed itself on declaring a prime ministerial or a chief ministerial candidate in the elections.

Even as there is enough fodder for the debate to rage on for the next few months, Minister and party’s face in TV debates, Manish Tiwari coined a new phrase saying that the "trinity" of Manmohan Singh, Sonia Gandhi and Rahul Gandhi will lead the Congress in the next Lok Sabha elections. "We will go to the people with this 'Trimurti', the Ludhiana MP and Information and Broadcasting Minister said in an interview.  For nine years, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has given us good governance and Congress president Sonia Gandhi has held the party together. Now, Rahul Gandhi has breathed life into the youth and invigorated the grassroots, said Tiwari.

So has the debate on two power centres in Congress, started by Digvijay Singh become infructuous? Instead of dual power centre, now there is the third centre also which is equally important and Rahul has got into the role effectively after becoming Vice President in the party’s Jaipur conclave early this year. Or will Dwivedi again say that what Tiwari said was his personal opinion and the party had nothing to do with it. Obviously, Dwivedi would not say anything of that sort as Tiwari, also a lawyer by training, stated the de facto position in the Congress of three power centres ever since Rahul joined politics and became an MP from Amethi a decade ago.

Coming back to the official stand of party, reflected in Dwivedi’s statement that the dual centre of power can be a model for future also, do we believe that the dual centre could be Sonia Gandhi as party President and Rahul Gandhi as Prime Minister if the party is voted back to power in the next Lok Sabha polls, whenever it is held in November this year or in April-May 2014. Or does Dwivedi mean that the Sonia-Manmohan model would continue beyond 2014 if fortune indeed favours the grand old party.

I also wonder what would happen if the Congress loses the Lok Sabha polls and sits in the Opposition. In that case, clearly Manmohan Singh would be out of equation as he cannot become an office-bearer in Congress and would no longer remain a power centre. There would be only two centres of power in that eventuality—the Congress President and the Vice President. (April 8, 2013) 

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