BJP smells massive win in Himachal

  

Amitabh Shukla | Shimla/Hamirpur

It may be a “no wave” election, but the Congress in Himachal Pradesh is looking at an “honourable defeat” rather than a second consecutive term for Virbhadra Singh, popularly known as Raja Sahib in the hill State.

As campaigns ended on Tuesday, the debate in the Congress circles was limited to how many seats would the party consider as “honourable defeat”. There was unanimity that if the grand old party won 25 of the 68 seats, the honour of the party and its leadership would remain intact and its cadres would have something to look for in the future.

The BJP, on the other hand, is excited, thrilled and is anticipating a massive win. Hamirpur MP Anurag Thakur told The Pioneer that the party was on its way to get 54 seats. He cited several numerological statistics for the Number 9 which is lucky for party's Chief Ministerial candidate Prem Kumar Dhumal. This included the time when his name was announced as CM face of the party, the date of birth of Dhumal and many aspects related to the 73-year-old two time Chief Minister.

“Numerology is one thing. But the sheer absence of governance in the last five years from the Himachal hinterland was the main factor which is propelling the BJP and has given it a major momentum,” the MP said. “Just go and see the development indices-roads, drinking water…and you will realise how badly the Government has performed,” said the three-time MP, who is himself addressing eight-nine meetings in a day.

What is helping the BJP is the involvement of veteran Shanta Kumar in the Kangra region which has 16 seats. In the 2012 Assembly polls, Kumar was not happy with the ticket distribution and did not campaign effectively and BJP won just 3 seats.

“This time, he is whole heartedly involved and there would be a four-fold jump in the number of seats in the Kangra region,” a senior party leader, adding “dramatic improvement in Kangra itself would take us beyond the magic number”.

The lower hills, considered to be the bastion of BJP due to the political charisma of Dhumal and Thakur, is behind the party as usual. People in the belt from Punjab border of Himachal, which is from Una to the interiors of Hamirpur, do not even hide their political inclinations.

“Just see this fluttering flag and you will realise which way the wind is blowing,” said, Nafe Singh, a 45-year-old shopkeeper of Bhota, pointing towards the Lotus flag of the party on top of his shop. His friend Prem Sharma too echoed the same sentiments. “We are sniffing a wave here for the party”, Sharma added.

The BJP has carpet bombed the entire State with a series of political rallies of Prime Minister Narendra Modi where he has continuously targeted Virbhadra for corruption and inefficiency. This has found traction even amongst the Congress sympathisers. Then several rallies by Home Minister Rajnath Singh, UP Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath, Union Minister Smriti Irani and others in every nook and corner of the State has built the momentum.

“It's a BJP Government in the Centre and we need a BJP Government in the State too to reap the benefits. It's not a question of merely change of Government. It will benefit every Himachali,” said Monu, a 25-year-old driver who claims he is not committed to any party but would vote as per the situation. “And undoubtedly, this time, the situation demands that a BJP government comes to power,” he added.

In the upper hills, Shimla district and the apple belt, the area from where Virbhadra hails from, there is a no antipathy towards the six-time Chief Minister. “He is a doer and is popular in the belt. He will win hands down in Arki despite changing his constituency,” said Mahesh Inder a 60-year-old small dhaba owner on the main Arki road. Himself a BJP sympathiser, Inder has appreciation for the work style of “Raja Saheb”. “He is accessible and also has the charisma associated with royalty in this part of the State,” summed up the dhaba owner. His son, who assists him in work, nods in agreement.

But Virbhadra Singh is fighting a lonely battle-all alone. The support from the party has been minimal. “He is putting in 15-16 hours a day in campaigning and that too mainly by road,” summed up an aide.

In the Congress Bhawan on Cart Road in Shimla, the mood is still upbeat as there are areas designated for campaign in social media, researchers are sitting and analysing speeches and the young cadres and professionals are trying their best to counter the BJP juggernaut.

“We are giving a tough fight in each and every seat. You name a seat and we are there,” said Harish Bafna from AICC in New Delhi, coordinating electioneering in the hill State. A team of researchers and AICC observers spread in all 68 constituencies is briefing their bosses in Shimla on the developments to prepare a counter strategy.

But in the State, there is a gradual agreement that the last political battle for Virbhadra Singh would simply be a farewell function for him and his dream of becoming the Chief Minister for the seventh time would remain in the realm of dream only. (November 8, 2017) 

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