Tehri and Jangipur: Ominous signs for Cong, UPA



VIEWPOINT
AMITABH SHUKLA 


The warning bells are loud and clear. The results of the bye-elections for the Tehri and the Jangipur Lok Sabha seats suggest a countrywide trend, an undercurrent against the policies of the UPA Government and also against a series of acts of omission and commission, sending the Congress scurrying for cover.

If Congress does not read the ominous signs and take corrective measures in the next year and half, the writing is there on the wall. But the problem is that the grand old party cannot or rather does not want to hear the warning bells, does not want to look at the mirror and do some serious introspection. Medication starts only when the patient agrees with the diagnosis but here Congress wants to kill the doctor who diagnosed the disease. It wants to shoot the messenger even as the message is too obvious for everyone to see.

The mood clearly is something like 1989 when the Bofors issue brought down the mighty Rajiv Gandhi Government and before that in 1977 when imposition of the Emergency led to the crystallisation of the anti-Congress forces on one platform leading to the ouster of Congress for the first time.

In Uttarakhand, Tehri by-poll result is not a defeat for the Chief Minister Vijay Bahuguna but clearly a no confidence vote against the UPA Government. The seat may have been vacated by Bahuguna and he may have led from the front to ensure the victory of his son Saket, but the series of expose ever since the UPA came to power in 2009, did him in. What makes the matters worse is that almost every single day one or the other corruption charges against Congress Ministers is being made.

Even as the din over the Coalgate and charges against Robert Vadra had yet to die down, there was charge against Law Minister Salman Khurshid about financial impropriety in the family run trust which received money from the Central Government. This was followed by charges against Virbhadra Singh when he was the Union Steel Minister on receiving kickbacks and alleged involvement in the selling of iron scrap. Remember, the same Virbhadra Singh had to resign from the Manmohan Singh Cabinet when a court in Shimla framed charges against him in the CD case. So it is a hat-trick of charges against Singh.

What has made the matters worse is the perception amongst the people that the party is extremely tolerant to corruption. The same Virbhadra is the Chief Ministerial candidate of the party in poll bound Himachal Pradesh, after being made the PCC chief two months before the elections. The message has gone not only in Himachal Pradesh but also rest of the country that come what may, the party will not take action against any tainted leader and instead would reward them with the position they want. Virbhadra wanted to become the PCC chief before elections so that he can get tickets for maximum of his supporters and he got what he wanted.

Political discourse has been reduced to such a comical level that instead of being on the defensive, Singh has been charging his political opponents of corruption and bragging that such issues do not affect the people and their voting preferences. Congress party is full of lawyers, including many in the Cabinet, but I don’t know how many of them would buy the argument which Virbhadra is placing in his defence. The tainted Himachal leader claims that he uses the initials “VS” and not “VBS” as mentioned in the diaries seized by the IT Department from Ispat Industries in which there is an entry of a payment of Rs2.28 crore to one “VBS”.

The result of Tehri indicates towards the malaise which has set in the 127-year-old party. Jangipur in West Bengal only confirmed it. The seat was vacated by Pranab Mukherjee after being elected as the first President of the country from West Bengal. His son, Abhijit Mukherjee just managed to win by a slender margin of over 2,500 votes while the margin of his father was 1.28 lakh votes. Abhijit knows that the next election which he will fight from the seat is not far away and just a year and half from now and the situation would only become difficult the way erosion of votes from the Congress has taken place. I hope Congress does not argue that the people of Jangipur are ungrateful and should have voted for the son of the first citizen of the country in the name of “Bengali honour”.

The erosion of the vote base of the Congress did not start all of a sudden. A series of high profile cases saw the involvement of several Congress leaders in scams. The big ticket scams started with the Commonwealth Games which led party MP Suresh Kalmadi to Tihar Jail in New Delhi. The investigation into the Games scam has come to a halt now. People are still wondering if Kalmadi did it all alone and wasn’t helped by the Delhi Government at all. A little earlier, the Madhu Koda scam broke out in which the party made an Independent MLA as Chief Minister of mineral rich Jharkhand, reaped the benefits and then left Koda high and dry in jail.

Then came the 2G scam which saw Cabinet Minister A Raja in jail and egg on the faces of several others, including Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, under whose nose the entire scam was carried out. If the corruption cases were not enough, inept handling of Anna Hazare and Baba Ramdev made the Government unpopular and exposed its ability to handle sensitive issues administratively.

Coalgate was next and no one knows where the investigations will stop if done in a free and fair manner. Robert Vadra was the bombshell which was waiting to explode. However, hard the Cabinet Ministers and the party spokespersons tried in television studios, the hollowness of their claims was there before the entire country to see. They were defending the indefensible. No one will give me or any common citizen (mango people of banana republic), an overdraft or unsecured loan of even Rs100 what to talk of lakhs or crores. This is only the second time when the first family of the Congress has faced charges, the first was against Rajiv Gandhi in the Bofors case.

In between, there was the Adarsh society scam in Mumbai and several small scams. Now you have the Salman Khurshid and Virbhadra Singh episodes. There are many more happening which could come to limelight anytime now. Selling natural resources and change in land use have become tickets to wealth for many, those in the Congress have mastered it while those in other parties are learning the tricks fast.

Given the sentiments, reflected through Tehri and Jangipur, it is for the opposition parties to cash it. BJP wants to be voted to power through default and not through aggressive campaign. Remember, the Vadra issue was brought in public domain by Arvind Kejriwal and the 2G and Coalgate scams by the CAG. Congress may be in a self annihilation drive right now but if the principal opposition party does not take proactive  political measures and builds a confederation of regional parties around it, the scam tainted UPA could bounce back. (October 15, 2012)  

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